UFC 292 Picks - Aljamain Sterling vs Sean O’Malley Prediction

Sean O'Malley vs Aljamain Sterling

UFC: Saturday, August 19th at 10:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: -- Sean O'Malley +210 / Aljamain Sterling -258 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Aljamain Sterling and Sean O’Malley face off for the Bantamweight title in the main event of UFC 292 at the TD Garden in Boston.

Aljamain Sterling vs Sean O’Malley Odds

Aljamain Sterling is the favorite sitting at -258 while Sean O’Malley is the underdog sitting at +210. The total rounds sits at 3.5 rounds with the over paying out at +114.

Aljamain Sterling Betting Preview

Aljamain Sterling comes into this fight with a 23-3 record overall and he has won nine fights in a row. Sterling’s last fight came against Henry Cejudo in May of 2023 and it was a split decision victory. Two fights ago against Tj Dillashaw, he was able to land the second round knockout. The Funk Master is averaging 4.78 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.37 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 2.02 takedowns every 15 minutes and he’s successful on 24 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 45 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. Sterling is an extremely strong wrestler, and he is going to need to be that an x-factor here.

Sean O’Malley Betting Preview

Sugar Sean O’Malley comes into this fight with a 16-1 record overall and he has a chance at winning the belt. O’Malley’s last fight came against Petr Yan in October of 2022 and it was a split decision victory that he secured. He outstruck Yan 84-56, but he was taken down six times. O’Malley is averaging 7.43 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.54 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.45 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 42 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 62 percent of his opponents takedown attempts.

Shane’s Free Pick

Sterling is really good at taking people's backs and that’s what he’s going to be able to do here. O’Malley is going to be confident in this fight, actually too confident, and that is going to really hurt him here. Sterling is going to avoid the knockout on the feet and get O’Malley in a bad position. O’Malley at times can put himself in bad positions and Sterling is going to be patiently waiting for it to happen. Once it happens, Sterling is going to pounce and finish the fight. Back Sterling to win by finish.