UFC 291 Picks - Jan Blachowicz vs Alex Pereira Prediction

Alex Pereira vs Jan Blachowicz

UFC: Saturday, July 29th at 10:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: -- Jan Blachowicz -110 / Alex Pereira -110 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Jan Blachowicz and Alex Pereira face off on Saturday in the co-main event of UFC 291 in a light heavyweight showdown at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah.

Jan Blachowicz vs Alex Pereira Odds

Jan Blachowicz and Alex Pereira both have odds sitting at -110. The total sits at 1.5 rounds with the over paying out at -150. 

Jan Blachowicz Betting Preview

Jan Blachowicz comes into this fight with a 29-9-1 record overall but he has lost two of his last three fights. Blachowicz’s last fight came against Magomed Ankalaev and he lost by a split decision. Two fights ago against Aleksander Rakic in May of 2022, it was early in the third round that he was able to win by knockout. Blachowicz is averaging 3.41 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.81 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.97 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 53 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 68 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. Blachowicz is 40 years old and it’s now or never if he wants to make one last run at the title. If he were to lose this fight, there is no guarantee that he would even fight again. 

Alex Pereira Betting Preview

On the other side of this matchup is Alex Pereira who sits with a 7-2 record but he did lose in his last fight against Israel Adesanya. Pereira actually outstruck Adesanya in April of 2023, but it was late in the second round he was finished by knockout. Two fights ago against Adesanya he was able to win by knockout. Pereria is averaging 5.23 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.76 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.28 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 100 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 73 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. If Pereira wants to win this fight, his takedown defense is going to need to be good. 

Shane’s Free Pick

I am not sold on Pereira’s defense against the takedown, especially against an elite wrestler like Blachowicz. Blachowicz is an elite striker, but in this fight he’s going to take the fight to the ground, and once he gets him there, he’s going to dominate Pereira. Blachowicz is going to dominate the fight and although he might not get the finish, he’s going to get the job done here. Back Blachowicz to win this fight. I am also throwing a few dollars on Blachowicz to win by decision. 

Shane’s Pick Blachowicz ML -110

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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