UFC 290 Picks - Brandon Moreno vs Alexandre Pantoja Prediction

Brandon Moreno vs Alexandre Pantoja

UFC: Saturday, July 8th at 10:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: -- Brandon Moreno -210 / Alexandre Pantoja +175 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Brandon Moreno and Alexandre Pantoja face off on Saturday for the flyweight title in the main event of UFC 290 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. 

Brandon Moreno vs Alexandre Pantoja Odds

Brandon Moreno is the favorite sitting at -205 while Alexandre Pantoja is the underdog sitting at +175. The total rounds sit at 3.5 rounds with the under paying out +140. 

Brandon Moreno Betting Preview

Brandon Moreno comes into this fight with a 21-6-2 record overall and he has won two fights in a row. Moreno’s last fight came against Deiverson Figueiredo in January of 2023 and it was at the end of the third round he was able to win by knockout. Moreno outstruck Figueiredo 48-19 and he finally wore him down enough. Moreno is averaging 3.55 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.19 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.80 successful takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 45 percent of the takedown attempts and stops 67 percent of his opponents takedown attempts

.Alexandre Pantoja Betting Preview

On the other side of this fight is Alexandre Pantoja who comes into this fight with 25-5 record overall. Pantoja’s last fight came against Alex Perez in July of 2022 and less than two minutes into the fight he was able to lock in a neck crank and secure the victory. Pantoja is averaging 4.25 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.38 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.37 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 40 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 67 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Not often do I bet a fight to go the distance, but this is a perfect spot for it. I’m not sold on Pantoja winning this fight, but Moreno is going to have issues getting the finish. This is going to be a fight where both fighters really grind out, and it’s going to be a battle. Back this fight to go the distance. 

Shane’s Pick Fight to go the Distance

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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