UFC on ABC 5 Picks - Josh Emmett vs Ilia Topuria Prediction

Ilia Topuria vs Josh Emmett

UFC: Saturday, June 24th at 3:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: Ilia Topuria -330 / Josh Emmett +275 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Josh Emmett and Ilia Topuria face off in a featherweight showdown in the main event of UFC on ABC 5 at the VyStar Veteran Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Florida. 

Josh Emmett vs Ilia Topuria Odds

Topuria is the favorite sitting at -330 while Emmett is the underdog sitting at +275. The total rounds sits at 2.5 with the over paying out at +180. 

Josh Emmett Betting Preview

Josh Emmett comes into this fight with a 14-3 record overall and he has won five of his last ssix fights. His only loss though came in his last fight against Yair Rodriguez. Emmett was being outstruck 66-22 and late in the second round he was finished with a triangle choke. Emmett is averaging 4.17 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.43 significant strikes per minute. He hits on 37 percent of his attempted significant strikes. He is averaging 1.07 successful takedowns every 15 minutes but is only successful on 37 percent of his takedown attempts. He is also stopping 58 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. He is averaging 0.1 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

Ilia Topuria Betting Preview

On the other side of this matchup is Ilia Topuria who sits with a 13-0 record overall and since coming into the UFC he has a perfect 5-0 record. Topuria’s last fight came against Bryce Mitchell, in December of 2022 and he was able to win by an arm triangle. Each of his last four wins have been finish. Topuria is averaging 3.32 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.75 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 2.45 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 466 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 92 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Topuria is the favorite in this fight, and he’s going to find success in this one. Topuria is the better striker and grapler, and he’s going to have little issue in this game. In Emmett’s last fight, he was submitted, and Topuria is coming off a fight where they got the finish. In this game, Topuria is going to lockdown in a submission and it’s going to finish Emmett. Back Topuria to win by submission. 

Shane’s Pick Topuria by Submission

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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