UFC Vegas 73 Picks - Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill Prediction

Angela Hill vs Mackenzie Dern

UFC: Saturday May 20th at 7:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: -- Angela Hill +135 /Mackenzie Dern -155 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Mackenzie Dern and Angela Hill face off in the main event of UFC Vegas 73 in a women’s strawweight bout at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. These two fighters were originally supposed to face off last weekend. 

Mackenzie Dern vs Angela Hill Odds

Mackenzie Dern comes into this fight as the favorite at -155 while Angela Hill is the underdog sitting at +135. The total rounds in this fight sit at 4.5 rounds with the over paying out at -145. 

Mackenzie Dern Betting Preview

Mackenzie Dern comes into this fight with a 12-3 record overall but she has lost two hif last three fights. Dern’s last fight came against Yan Xiaonan in October of 2022 and she lost by majority decision. Two fights ago against Tecia Torres in April of 2022 and she won by split decision. She is averaging 3.02 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.39 significant strikes per minute. She is averaging 0.61 takedowns every 15 minutes but is only successful on 11 percent of her takedown attempts. She also stops 40 percent of her opponents takedown attempts. 

Angela Hill Betting Preview

On the other side of this matchup is Angela Hill who sits with a 15-12 record overall and she has won two fights in a row. In her last fight against Emily Ducote in December of 2022, she landed 192 significant strikes and that was enough for the unanimous decision victory. Hill is averaging 5.68 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.97 significant strikes per minute. She has mostly been trying to keep the fight on the feet. She is averaging 0.58 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 29 percent of his takedown attempts. She also stops 77 percent of her opponents takedown attempts. 

Shane’s Free Pick

One thing is for sure in this fight, it’s going to be very exciting. Dern is a wild striker but Hill is a fighter that is also good with her punches. Dern is going to push forward in this fight, but that will actually help Hill I think. Hill has power and she’s going to wear down Dern here, something that Mackenzie isn’t exactly used to. With Dern being worn down, Hill is going to get the job done. Back Hill on the money line. I am also throwing a few dollars on Hill by decision. 

Shane’s Pick Angela Hill ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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