UFC on ABC 4 Picks - Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Jailton Almeida Prediction

Jailton Almeida vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik

UFC Saturday May 6th at 3:00 PM

The Line -- Jairzinho Rozenstruik +300 / Jailton Almeida -400 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Jailton Almeida face off on Saturday in the main event of UFC on ABC 4 at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. 

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Jailton Almeida Odds

Almeida is the favorite sitting at -500 while Rozenstruik is the underdog sitting at +400. The total rounds in this fight is set at 1.5 with the over paying out at +170. 

Jairzinho Rozenstruik Betting Preview

Jairzinho Rozenstruik comes into this game with a 13-4 record overall but he has lost two of his last three fights. Rozenstruik lost back to back fights against Curtis Blaydes and Alexander Volkov before winning the last fight. He faced off against Chris Daukaus in the last fight and only 23 seconds into the fight he was able to win the fight by knockout. He was outstriking Daukaus 12-1 when he finished the fight by knockout. Rozenstruik is averaging 2.93 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.23 significant strikes per minute. In his last loss he was knocked out and he needs to avoid the power here. 

Jailton Almeida Betting Preview

On the other side of this matchup is Jailton Almeida who sits with an 18-2 record overall and since coming into the UFC he has won five straight fights. Almeida’s last fight came against Shamil Abdurakhimov on January 21st and it was midway through the second round that he was able to finish the fight by knockout. He had three takedowns in that fight and also outstruck his opponent 45-1. He is averaging 4.19 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 0.34 significant strikes per minute. He wants to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 6.73 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 70 percent of his takedown attempts and also stops 50 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

Shane’s Free Pick

This isn’t my favorite play ever, but there is value with Rozenstruik here. He can finish anyone at any time and he knows he needs to get it done early. I expect he’s going to come out swinging early, and he’s going to land the one fight that puts Almeida out. Back Rozenstruik to pull the big upset.

Shane’s Pick Jairzinho Rozenstruik ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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