UFC 288 Picks - Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo Prediction

Henry Cejudo vs Aljaman Sterling

UFC Saturday, March 6th at 10:00 PM ET

The Line - Henry Cejudo -115 / Aljaman Sterling -105 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Aljamain Sterling and Henry Cejudo face off on Saturday for the bantamweight belt at UFC 288 at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. 

Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo Odds

Henry Cejudo is a slight favorite sitting at -115 while Aljamain Sterling is the underdog sitting at -105. The total round is set at 4.5 with the over paying out at -150. 

Aljamain Sterling Betting Preview

Aljamain “Funk Master” Sterling comes into this game with a 22-3 record overall and he has won eight fights in a row. Sterling’s last fight came against TJ Dillashaw in October of 2022 and it was midway through the second round that he finished the fight by knockout. Sterling outstruck Dillashaw 72-8 and that was the difference as he was able to secure the easy victory. Sterling is averaging 4.7 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.18 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.98 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 24 percent of his takedown attempts. He is also stopping 41 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

Henry Cejudo Betting Preview

On the other side of this matchup is Henry Cejudo who sits with a 16-2 record overall and he has won six fights in a row. Cejudo’s last fight came against Dominick Cruz in May of 2020 and it was late in the second round that he was able to win the fight with his knees. He oustruck Cruz 53-33. After that fight, Cejudo retired but he has unretired from that. Cejudo is averaging 3.92 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.77 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 2.12 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 33 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 93 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Cejudo is an elite fighter on the ground, and his wrestling skills is going to be the difference in this game. Sterling is a good striker, but not an elite striker, and once this fight goes to the ground, he’s going to really struggle. Cejudo is going to grind out this fight on the ground, and get the job done. Back Cejudo on the money line. 

Shane’s Pick Henry Cejudo ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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