UFC Fight Night 222 Picks - Sergei Pavlovich vs Curtis Blaydes Prediction

Curtis Blaydes vs. Sergei Pavlovich

UFC, Saturday April 22nd at 7:00 PM

The Line -- Curtis Blaydes -170 / Sergei Pavlovich +145 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Sergei Pavlovich and Curtis Blaydes face off Saturday in a heavyweight showdown in the main event of UFC Fight Night 222 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Sergei Pavlovich vs Curtis Blaydes Odds

Curtis Blaydes is the favorite sitting at -170 while Sergei Pavlovich is the underdog sitting at +145. 

Sergei Pavlovich Betting Preview

Sergei Pavlovich comes into this game with a 17-1 record overall and he has won five fights in a row. Pavlovich lost to Alistair Overeem to open his UFC career, but since that point, he has won five fights in a row. Pavlovich’s last fight came against Tua Tuivasa in December of 2022 and he dominated that fight. He outstruck Tuivasa 23-2 and only 54 seconds into the fight he won the fight by knockout. He is averaging 8.07 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.30 significant strikes per minute. He wants to keep the fight on the feet and he is stopping 66 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

Curtis Blaydes Betting Preview

On the other side of this matchup is Curtis Blaydes who sits with a 17-3 record overall and he has won three fights in a row. In his last fight against Tom Aspinall in July of 2022 and it was only 15 seconds into the fight that he won by knockout. Two fights ago against Chris Daukaus in March of 2022, he won that fight early in the second round by knockout. He is averaging 3.54 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 1.70 significant strikes per minute. He wants to get the fight to the ground and he’s averaging 6.05 takedowns every 15 minutes and he’s successful on 53 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 33 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Pavlovich has made it clear that he’s worked on his takedown defense and he’s going to keep this fight on the feet. Pavlovich is averaging 8.07 significant strikes per minute and he’s going to have no issue in this fight. Pavlovich has too much power for Blaydes and he’s going to have no answer. Look for Pavlovich’s power to be too much, and that is going to be the difference here. Back Pavlovich to win this fight. 

Shane’s Pick Sergei Pavlovich ML +145

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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