UFC on ESPN 44 Picks - Max Holloway vs Arnold Allen Prediction

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Max Holloway and Arnold Allen face off on Saturday in UFC on ESPN 44 in a featherweight bout at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Max Holloway vs Arnold Allen Odds

Max Holloway is the favorite sitting at -175 while Arnold Allen is the underdog and his payout currently sits at +150.

Max Holloway Betting Preview

Max Holloway comes into this game with a 23-7 record overall and he has won two of his last three fights. Holloway’s last fight came against Alexander Volkanovski, and he didn’t look great. He was outstruck 199-127 and that led to the unanimous decision loss. Each of his last two wins have been a unanimous decision. Holloway is averaging 7.24 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.89 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.29 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 53 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 84 percent of his takedown attempts. 

Arnold Allen Betting Preview

Arnold “Almighty” Allen comes into this fight with a 19-1 record overall and since coming to the UFC he has gone 10-0. Allen’s last fight came against Calvin Kattar in October of 2022 and it was eight seconds into the second round that he was able to win the fight by knockout. Two fights ago against Dan Hooker it was halfway through the first round that he finished the fight by knockout. He is averaging 3.40 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.25 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.35 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 50 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 76 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. In this fight, Allen needs to find his power, and try to put away this fight early. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Holloway has the gas tank, and I expect his chin is going to hold up against Allen. Holloway is averaging 7.29 significant strikes per minute and he’s going to put the pressure on Allen here. Look for Allen to weardown as the fight goes on, and that’s when Holloway is going to pour it on. Back Holloway on the money line.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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