UFC 287 Picks - Gilbert Burns vs Jorge Masvidal Prediction

Jorge Masvidal vs Gilbert Burns

UFC Saturday April 8th at 10:00 PM ET

The Line -- Jorge Masvidal +360 / Gilbert Burns -450 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Gilbert Burns and Jorge Masvidal face off on Saturday in a welterweight showdown in the main event of UFC 287 at Miami Dade Arena in Miami. 

Gilbert Burns and Jorge Masvidal  Odds

Gibert Burns comes into this fight as a big favorite sitting at -450 while Jorge Masvidal is the underdog sitting at +360. 

Gilbert Burns Betting Preview

Gilbert Burns comes into this fight with a 21-5 record overall and he’s coming off a big victory in January. Burns faced off against Neil Magny and it was a little over four minutes into the first round he was able to lock in an arm triangle and secure the win. He had one takedown in that fight, and that led to success. Burns is averaging 3.12 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.17 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 2.03 takedowns every 15 minutes, and he’s successful on 35 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 47 percent of his takedown attempts. 

Jordge Masvidal Betting Preview

On the other side of this matchup is Jorge Masvidal who sits with a 35-16 record overall, but he has lost three fights in a row. Masvidal’s last fight came against Colby Covington in March of 2022 and he lost by a unanimous decision. He was outstruck 94-67 and he was also taken down six times in the fight. He is averaging 4.11 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.06 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.44 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 59 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 74 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

Shane’s Free Pick

I don’t think it’s going to be long until Masvidal hangs up the gloves, and it could happen after this fight. Masvidal isn’t going to be able to take the pressure off Burns, and that is going to be the difference here as Masvidal is going to get finished in that fight. Back Burns to win this fight by knockout. 

Shane’s Pick Gilbert Burns by knockout

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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