UFC 287 Picks - Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya Prediction

Israel Adesanya vs. Alex Pereira

UFC Saturday April 8th at 10:00 PM ET

The Line -- Israel Adesanya -135 / Alex Pereira +115 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Alex Pereira and Israel Adesanya face off on Saturday for the UFC middleweight title in the main event of UFC 287 at Miami Dade Arena in Miami. These two fighters fought in November and it was Pereira that was able to secure the win by knockout in the 5th round. Three of his four win

Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya Odds

Israel Adesanya is a slight favorite sitting at -135 while Alex Pereira is the underdog sitting at +115. 

Alex Pereira Betting Preview

Alex Pereira comes into this fight with a 7-1 record overall and since he has come into the UFC he has won four fights in a row. Two fights ago against Sean Strickland in July of 2022 he was able to win the fight by knockout just over two minutes into the fight.Three of his four wins have been by knockout since coming into the UFC. Pereira is averaging 5.23 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.63 significanit strikes per minute. He mostly wants to keep the fight on the feet, but will take it to the ground if he needs to. Pereira is averaging 0.33 takedowns every 15 minutes but is successful on 100 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 73 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

Israel Adesanya Betting Preview

On the other side of this matchup is Israel Adesanya who sits with a 23-2 record overall and he has won three of his last four fights. Two fights ago against Jared Cannonier in July of 2022 he had 116 significant strikes and ended up with a unanimous decision victory. He is averaging 3.93 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.80 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.06 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 14 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 77 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. In this fight he needs to not take as much damage early, so he’s fresh late in the game. He also had the finish in the first round, before he was worn down late. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Adasanya looked good early in the first fight but he wore down, and it’s going to happen again here. Pereira is the more powerful fighter and he’s going to really put pressure on Adesanya. He’s going to be worn down again in this fight, and Pereira is going to get the job done. Back Pereira on the money line. 

Shane’s Pick Alex Pereira ML +115

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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