UFC 285 Picks - Valentina Shevchenko vs Alexa Grasso Prediction

Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko

UFC: Saturday, March 4th at 10:00 PM

The Line -- Alexa Grasso +460 / Valentina Shevchenko -610 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Valentina Shevchenko and Alexa Grasso face off on Saturday for the Women’s Flyweight Title in the co-main event of UFC 285  at T-Mobile Aena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Shevchenko is the champion while Grasso is ranked 6th. 

Valentina Shevchenko vs Alexa Grasso Odds

Valentina Shevchenko is the favorite sitting at -610 while Alexa Grasso is the underdog sitting at +460. 

Valentina Shevchenko Betting Preview

Valentina Shevchenko comes into this fight with a 23-3 record overall and she has won nine fights in a row. In June of 2022 Shevchenko faced off against Taila Santos and that was a split-decision victory. She outstruck Santos 77-55 and she also finished the fight with three takedowns. Two fights ago against Lauren Murphy, she was able to finish the fight by knockout in the 4th round. Shevchenko is averaging 3.19 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 1.90 significant strikes per minute. She is averaging 2.53 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 64 percent of her takedown attempts. She also stops 70 percent of her opponent's takedown attempts. Make sure to check out the main event between Jon Jones and Ciryl Gane

Alexa Grasso Betting Preview

On the other side of this fight is Alexa Grasso who sits with a 15-3 record overall and she has won four fights in a row. In October of 2022, she faced off against Viviane Araujo and she was able to win by unanimous decision victory. Grasso landed 153 strikes in that fight, and that was the difference. Grasso is averaging 5.14 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.02 significant strikes per minute. Mostly she keeps the fight on the feet but she is averaging 0.44 takedowns every 15 minutes. She is successful on 57 percent of her takedown attempts and also stops 64 percent of her opponents' takedown attempts. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Grasso is a very talented fighter, and she’s going to hold her own for a while in this fight, but it won’t last long. Shevchenko looked vulnerable in the last fight, but this is going to be an easy matchup for her as the fight goes on. Shevchenko is going to put the pressure on Grasso, and she’s going to secure another title here. Back Shevchenko to win this fight by knockout. 

Shane’s Pick Valentina Shevchenko by Knockout

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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