UFC 285 Picks - Jon Jones vs Ciryl Gane Prediction

Ciryl Gane vs. Jon Jones

UFC: Saturday, March 4th at 10:00 PM

The Line: Jon Jones -165 / Ciryl Gane +145 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Jon Jones and Ciryl Gane face off for the heavyweight title in the main event of UFC 285 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. 

Jon Jones vs Ciryl Gane Odds

Jon Jones comes into this game as the favorite sitting at -165 while Ciryl Gane sits as the underdog sitting at +140. 

Jon Jones Betting Preview

Jon Jones is one of the best UFC fighters ever, but he has had a long layoff heading into this fight. Jones comes into this fight with a 26-1 record overall and he has won four fights in a row. His last fight came against Dominick Reyes in February of 2020, and that was a unanimous decision victory. He was outstruck 116-104, but he had two takedowns and that was enough to secure the victory. Each of his last three wins has been by decision. Bones is averaging 4.30 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.22 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.85 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 44 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 95 percent of his takedown attempts. The last few fights he seems to have done when he needs to get wins, the question is will this be the fight we get the old Jones who likes to finish fights. Make sure to check out the other championship fight between Valentina Shevchenko vs Alexa Grasso.  

Ciryl Gane Betting Preview

On the other side of this fight is Ciryl Gane who sits with an 11-1 record overall and his only loss came two fights ago against Francis Ngannou. In that fight, he went the distance but it was a unanimous decision loss. Gane’s last fight came against Tai Tuivasa in September of 2022 and late in the third round, he was able to win by knockout. Gane had outstruck Tuivasa 110-29 when he finished the fight. Gane is averaging 5.11 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.25 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.62 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 21 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 55 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

Shane’s Free Pick

I have some concerns about Jones with the layoff, but I still think he’s the better fighter. Jones at times hasn’t been the flashiest fighter as of late, but he knows how to get wins, and that’s what he’s going to do here. Look for Jones to pick apart Gane here, and also do a good job of not taking the damage from Gane. I don’t think Jones gets the finish, but he’s going to get the win. Back Jones to win by decision. 

Shane’s Pick Jon Jones by Decision

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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