UFC Fight Night 218 Picks - Derrick Lewis vs. Sergey Spivac Prediction

Sergey Spivac vs. Derrick Lewis

UFC: Saturday, February 4th at 11:59 PM

The Line: -- Sergey Spivac -230 / Derrick Lewis +195 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN+ Stream unmatched UFC coverage on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

Derrick Lewis and Sergey Spivac face off on Saturday in the main event of UFC Fight Night 218 in a heavyweight battle at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. Lewis is currently ranked 7th in the division while Spivak is currently ranked 12th. 

Lewis vs Spivak Odds

Spivac is currently sitting at -230 odds and is the favorite while Lewis is currently +195 as the underdog. 

Derrick Lewis Betting Preview

Derrick “The Black Beast” Lewis comes into this game with a 26-10 record but he has lost two fights in a row. In his last fight against Sergei Pavlovich it was only 55 seconds into the fight that he was finished by knockout. He was being outstruck 15-4 when he was knocked out. Lewis is averaging 2.57 significant strikes while absorbing 2.57 significant strikes per minute. He mostly wants to keep the fight on the feet and is averaging 0.60 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 28 percent of his takedown attempts and also stops 55 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. Lewis has been dropping weight heading into this fight, and the hope is the cardio will be improved. 

Sergey Spivac Betting Preview

On the other side of this matchup is Sergery Spivac who sits with a 15-3 record overall and he has won two fights in a row. In August of 2022 he faced off against Augusto Sakai and it was in the second round that he finished the fight by knockout. Two fights ago against Greg Hardy he also won by knockout. Spivac is averaging 3.79 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.96 significant strikes per minute. He wants to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 4.09 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 63 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 70 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Lews really isn’t going to be grinding out a decision, so the only real chance for him is to finish the fight. If this was four or five years ago, I might be a little more confident in Lewis, but his chin has weakened, and it’s goingto cost him again in this fight. Look for Spivac to wear down Lewis and this fight is going to be over early. Much like the co-main event that features Da Un Jung, it’s going to be the favorite that finds success. Back Spivac to win this fight by knockout. I am also throwing a few dollars on Spivac to win this fight by knockout in the first round. 

Shane’s Pick Sergey Spivac by knockout

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NBA, MLB, NCAAB, Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Thursday 3/28/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss