UFC Fight Night 218 Picks - Derrick Lewis vs. Sergey Spivac Prediction

Sergey Spivac vs. Derrick Lewis

UFC: Saturday, February 4th at 11:59 PM

The Line: -- Sergey Spivac -230 / Derrick Lewis +195 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Derrick Lewis and Sergey Spivac face off on Saturday in the main event of UFC Fight Night 218 in a heavyweight battle at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. Lewis is currently ranked 7th in the division while Spivak is currently ranked 12th. 

Lewis vs Spivak Odds

Spivac is currently sitting at -230 odds and is the favorite while Lewis is currently +195 as the underdog. 

Derrick Lewis Betting Preview

Derrick “The Black Beast” Lewis comes into this game with a 26-10 record but he has lost two fights in a row. In his last fight against Sergei Pavlovich it was only 55 seconds into the fight that he was finished by knockout. He was being outstruck 15-4 when he was knocked out. Lewis is averaging 2.57 significant strikes while absorbing 2.57 significant strikes per minute. He mostly wants to keep the fight on the feet and is averaging 0.60 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 28 percent of his takedown attempts and also stops 55 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. Lewis has been dropping weight heading into this fight, and the hope is the cardio will be improved. 

Sergey Spivac Betting Preview

On the other side of this matchup is Sergery Spivac who sits with a 15-3 record overall and he has won two fights in a row. In August of 2022 he faced off against Augusto Sakai and it was in the second round that he finished the fight by knockout. Two fights ago against Greg Hardy he also won by knockout. Spivac is averaging 3.79 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.96 significant strikes per minute. He wants to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 4.09 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 63 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 70 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Lews really isn’t going to be grinding out a decision, so the only real chance for him is to finish the fight. If this was four or five years ago, I might be a little more confident in Lewis, but his chin has weakened, and it’s goingto cost him again in this fight. Look for Spivac to wear down Lewis and this fight is going to be over early. Much like the co-main event that features Da Un Jung, it’s going to be the favorite that finds success. Back Spivac to win this fight by knockout. I am also throwing a few dollars on Spivac to win this fight by knockout in the first round. 

Shane’s Pick Sergey Spivac by knockout

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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