UFC 280: Beneil Dariush vs. Mateusz Gamrot Picks and Predictions

Mateusz Gamrot vs. Beneil Dariush

UFC: Saturday, October 22nd at 2:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: -- Mateusz Gamrot -200 / Beneil Dariush +170 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Beneil Dariush and Mateusz Gamrot face off on Saturday in a lightweight bout in the main card of UFC 280 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi. Dariush is ranked 6th in the division while Gamrot is ranked 9th. 

Mateusz Gamrot comes into this fight with a 21-1 record overall and he has won four fights in a row. Gamrot’s last fight came against Arman Tsarukyan in June of 2022 he was outstruck 81-95, but he had six takedowns and which led to the unanimous decision victory. He is averaging 3.54 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.19 significant strikes per minute. He wants to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 4.83 successful takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 35 percent of his takedown attempts and stops 90 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. He is averaging 0.3 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

Beneil Dariush comes into this fight with a 21-4-1 record overall and he has won seven fights in a row. Dariush’s last fight came against Tony Ferguson in May of 2021 and it was a unanimous decision victory. He had three takedowns in that fight, and that was enough to secure the victory. Dariush is averaging 3.80 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.58 significant strikes per minute. He wants to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 2.11 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 34 percent of his takedown attempts and he is stopping 81 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. Dariush is averaging 1.0 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

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These two fighters are pretty similar, but Gamrot has one big advantage, his wrestling. Gamrot does a great job of getting the fight to the ground and when he gets the fight there, he dominates. I don’t think Gamrot is going to get the finish, but this is going to be a very comfortable victory for him. Back Gamrot on the money line. 

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Shane’s Pick Mateusz Gamrot by Decision

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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