UFC Fight Night 211: Randy Brown vs. Francisco Trinaldo Picks and Predictions

Francisco Trinaldo vs. Randy Brown

UFC: Saturday, October 1st at 7:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: -- Francisco Trinaldo +260 / Randy Brown -320 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Randy Brown and Francisco Trinaldo face off on Saturday in the co main event of UFC Fight NIght 211 in a Welterweight showdown at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Randy Brown comes into this fight with a 15-4 record overall and he has won three fights in a row. Brown’s last fight came against Khaos Williams in March of 2022 and he was able to win that fight by a split decision. Brown outstruck Williams 93-75 and that was enough to secure the victory. Three fights ago against Alex Oliveira in April of 2021 and in that fight he locked in a rear naked choke and came away with the vcitory. Brown is averaging 4.42 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.32 significant strikes per minute. Brown is averaging 0.76 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 35 percent of the takedown attempts. He is also stopping 71 percent of the takedown attempts. 

On the other side of this matchup is Francisco Trinaldo and he sits with a 28-8 record overall and he has won two fights in a row. Trinaldo’s last fight came against Danny Roberts in May of 2022 and he was able to win by unanimous decision. He outstruck his opponent 80-36 and there was really no doubt they were going to come away with a victory. Trinaldo is averaging 3.15 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.40 significant strikes per minute. Trinaldo is averaging 0.98 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 59 percent of the takedown attempts. He is also averaging 0.5 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

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Trinaldo during his career has struggled against longer and strong guys during his career, and he’s going to struggle again in this game. As the fight goes on, Brown is going to wear down Trinaldo and he’s going to find enough to come away with the victory. Back Brown to win this fight by finish. 

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Shane’s Pick Randy Brown by Finish

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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