UFC 279: Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez Picks and Predictions

Daniel Rodriguez vs. Kevin Holland

UFC: Saturday, September 10th at 10:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Daniel Rodriguez +160 Kevin Holland -190 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Kevin Holland and Daniel Rodriguez face off on Saturday in a catchweight bout on the main card at UFC 279 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Kevin Holland comes into this fight with a 23-7 and he has won two fights in a row. Holland’s last fight came against Tom Means in June of 2022 and he looked really good in that fight. He locked in a choke in the second round and that led to the defeat. Holland is averaging 3.90 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.41 significant strikes per minute. Holland is averaging 0.84 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 43 percent of his takedown attempts. He is also stopping 50 percent of his takedown attempts Holland is a finisher and he is going to try to find the finish here. 

On the other side of this fight is Daniel Rodriguez and he comes into this fight with a 16-2 record overall and he has won three fights in a row. Rodriguez’s last fight came against Kevin Lee in August of 2021 and he won that fight by unanimous decision. He outstruck Lee 120-56 and it was an easy victory. Rodriguez is averaging 8.06 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.38 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.84 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 55 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 76 percent of his opponents' takedown attempts. 

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Rodriguez is a very good fighter, but when he has struggled it’s been against wrestlers and that’s a strength for Holland. Holland has a big reach advantage and he is going to use that to his advantage here. Holland is going to get this fight to the mat if that’s where he wants to fight, and it should be an easy win. Back Holland on the money line. 

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Shane’s Pick Kevin Holland ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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