UFC Fight Night 209: Ciryl Gane vs. Tai Tuivasa Picks and Predictions

Click Here for the Latest Odds

Ciryl Gane and Tai Tuivasa face off on Saturday in a heavyweight showdown for the main event of UFC Fight Night 209 at the Accor Arena in Paris, France. Gane is currently ranked 1st in the division while Tuivasa is ranked 3rd. 

Ciryl Gane comes into this game with a 10-1 record overall, but his only loss came in his last fight. Gane faced off against Francis Ngannou on January 22nd, and he lost by unanimous decision. He actually outstruck Ngannou 63-43, but he was taken down four times and that was the difference in the defeat. Gane is averaging 4.83 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.27 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.69 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 22 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 55 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. Gane is an elite striker, who also finds a ton of success with his kickboxing. Don’t count out the submission either as he has won three fights that way. 

Tai Tuivasa comes into this game with a 15-3 record overall and he has won five fights in a row. In his last fight against Derrick Lewis, he was outstruck 27-24, but as the fight went on he work down Lewis, and early in the second round he finished the fight with his elbow. Tuivasa is averaging 4.54 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.56 significant strikes per minute. Tuivasa wants to keep the fight on the feet and is averaging 0.00 takedowns every 15 minutes. He also stops 50 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts.

This might be taking place in the home of Gane, but Tuivasa has fans everywhere he goes and it should be no different here. There is no doubt that Tuivasa has a ton of power, but I’m not sure he has as much power as Gane, and Ciryl is also the more technical fighter. Tuivasa has the power that he could get Gane, but I don’t think that happens. Gane is going to pick apart Tuivasa and as the fight goes on, his pressure is going to be too much. Back Gane to win by finish. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Wednesday 6/19/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.