UFC 278: Jose Aldo vs. Merab Dvalishvili Picks and Predictions

Merab Dvalishvili vs. Jose Aldo

UFC: Saturday, August 20th at 10:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Merab Dvalishvili -140 Jose Aldo +120 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: PPV Stream unmatched UFC coverage on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

Jose Aldo and Merab Dvalishvili face off on Saturday in the main card for a bantamweight bout at UFC 278 at Vivant Arena in Salt Lake City. Aldo is ranked 3rd in the division while Dvalishvili is ranked 6th. 

Jose Aldo comes into this fight with a 31-7 record overall and he has won three fights in a row. In Aldo’s last fight against Rob Font, he was outstruck 149-86, but it was still enough to win by unanimous decision victory. It’s not a guarantee but there are thoughts that he might get another shot at the title if he wins this fight. Aldo is averaging 3.61 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.74 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.51 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 54 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 90 percent of his takedown attempts. He is also averaging 0.2 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

On the other side of this matchup is Merab Dvalishvili who sits with a 14-4 record overall and he has won seven fights in a row. Dvalishvili’s last fight came against Marlon Moraes in September of 2021 and he was dominant in the fight. Midway through the second round, he had finally worn down Moraes enough to secure the victory. He is averaging 4.26 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.28 significant strikes per minute. Dvalishvili is an elite wrestler and is averaging 7.30 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 45 percent of his takedown attempts and stops 78 percent of them. He is also averaging 0.3 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

See which Cappers are CASHING IN.. Click Here to see the HOTTEST CAPPERS!!!!

Aldo is elite at defending the takedown while Dvalishvili is an elite wrestler, and that is going to be the key to watch in this fight. I expect Aldo is going to do a good job of taking away Dvalishvili’s wrestling, and with the fight on the feet, he is going to pick apart his opponent. I expect Aldo to minimize the pressure off Dvalishvili and that will be the difference as Aldo gets the job done. Back Aldo on the money line. 

Risk Free Bets, Free Bets and Deposit Bonuses CLICK HERE!!!!

Shane’s Pick Jose Aldo +120

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NBA, NHL, NCAAB Best Betting Picks & Predictions Wednesday 2/1/23 | 7 Picks

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss