UFC on ESPN 41: Nate Landwehr vs. David Onama Picks and Predictions
David Onama vs. Nate Landwehr
UFC: Saturday, August 13th at 7:00 PM ET
The Line: -- David Onama -335 / Nate Landwehr +250 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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Nate Landwehr and David Onama face off on Saturday in a featherweight bout for the co-main event of UFC on ESPN 41 at Pechanga Arena in San Diego.
Nate Landwehr comes into this fight with a 15-4 record overall and he has gone 2-2 since coming into the UFC. Landwehr’s last fight came against Ludovit Klein in October of 2021 and it was midway through the third round that he won by Anaconda choke. Two fights ago against Julian Erosa he took a flying knee 56 seconds into the first round and that led to the defeat. When he was knocked out he was being outstruck 15-9. Landwehr is averaging 6.51 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.96 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.48 takedowns every 15 minutes but he is successful on 90 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 87 percent of his opponents takedown attempts.
On the other side of this fight is David Onama who sits with a 10-1 record overall and after losing his first fight inside the UFC he has won two straight. In his last fight against Garrett Armfield in July of 2022 it was midway through the second round that he locked in a submission and finished the fight. Onama is averaging 5.61 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.58 significant strikes per minute. Obama is averaging 1.09 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 22 percent of his takedown attempts. He is stopping 50 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts.
Landwehr is a good fighter, but Onama is a great fighter, and I expect he is going to climb the rankings of the featherweight division very quickly. Landwehr too often will expose himself for a finish, and that is going to be the way this fight finishes. Onama is a knockout artist first but he also is known for his submissions. Onama is going to get the fight down by finish.