UFC 277: Alex Morono vs. Matthew Semelsberger Picks and Predictions

Matthew Semelsberger vs. Alex Morono

UFC: Saturday, July 30th at 8:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Matthew Semelsberger -165 / Alex Morono +135 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ABC Stream unmatched UFC coverage on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

Alex Morono and Matthew Semelsberger face off on Saturday in the prelims in a welterweight bout at UFC 277 at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. These are two fighters who could climb up the rankings quickly if they were to win a couple more fights. 

Alex Morono comes into this fight with a 21-7 record overall and he has won three fights in a row. Morono’s last fight came against Mickey Gall in December of 2021 and he won that fight by unanimous decision. Three fights ago against Donald Cerrone it was late in the first round that he was able to win by knockout. Morono is averaging 5.21 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.93 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.35 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 25 percent of the attempts. He also stops 53 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

On the other side of this matchup is Matthew Semelsberger who sits with a 10-3 record overall and he has won two fights in a row. His last fight came against AJ Fletcher in March of 2022 he was taken down four times, but still outstruck his opponent 40-34 to secure the unanimous decision victory. Semelsberger is averaging 5.01 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.55 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.99 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 100 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 42 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

Morono is a very good technical fighter, but too many of his opponents get lulled into his fight style and end up losing. Semelsberger is too smart of a fighter to let that happen, and he is the more explosive fighter here. Look for Semelsberger to fight this one at his pace and his power will end up being too much. Back Semesberger to secure the victory here. 

Shane’s Pick Matthew Semelsberger ML -165

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NBA, NCAAB, NHL Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Tuesday 12/5/23 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.