UFC Fight Night 208: Curtis Blaydes vs. Tom Aspinall Picks and Predictions

Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes

UFC: Saturday, July 23rd at 3:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Tom Aspinall -140 / Curtis Blaydes +120 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Curtis Blaydes and Tom Aspinall face off on Saturday in the main event of UFC Fight Night 208 in a heavyweight showdown at the O2 Arena in London, England. Blaydes is currently ranked 4th in the division while Aspinall is ranked 6th. 

Curtis Blaydes comes into this fight with a 16-3 record overall and he has won two fights in a row. In Blaydes last fight against Chris Daukaus in March of 2022 it was early in the second round that he was ble to finish the fight by knockout. Blaydes last loss came three fights ago against Derrick Lewis, and he was finished early in that fight. Blaydes is averaging 3.52 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 1.68 significant strikes per minute. Blaydes wants to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 6.06 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 53 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 33 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

On the other side of this matchup is Tom Aspinall who sits with a 12-2 record overall and he has won five fights in a row since coming into the UFC. Aspinall’s last fight came against Alexander Volkov in March of 2022, and it was in the first round that he locked in a straight armbar and secured the victory. Each of his five wins inside the UFC has been by finish. Aspinall is averaging 7.33 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.65 significant strikes per minute. Aspinall also likes to get the fight to the ground and he is averaging 4.07 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 100 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 100 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

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These are two fighters who both can finish the fight at any time in different ways, and this should be an exciting fight. Tom Aspinall will have the home crowd behind him, and that could be a big advantage in this fight. Aspinall has stopped 100 percent of his opponents takedown attempts, and that is going to be a big difference as Blaydes is going to be forced to stay on the feet unless Aspinall decides the fight should be on the ground. With Aspinall fighting where he wants, he is going to control the fight, and finish the fight. Back Aspinall by finish to cash. 

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Shane’s Pick Tom Aspinall by Finish

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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