UFC Fight Night 208: Alexander Gustafsson vs. Nikita Krylov Picks and Predictions

UFC Fight Night 208: Alexander Gustafsson vs. Nikita Krylov Picks and Predictions Photo by Per Haljestam-USA TODAY Sports

Nikita Krylov vs. Alexander Gustafsson

UFC: Saturday, July 23rd at 3:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Nikita Krylov -200 / Alexander Gustafsson +160 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Alexander Gustafsson and Nikita Krylov face off on Saturday on the main card of UFC Fight Night 208 in a light heavyweight showdown at the O2 Arena in London, England.

Alexander Gustafsson comes into this fight with an 18-7 record overall but he has lost three fights in a row. Gustafsson's last fight came against Fabricio Werdum in May of 2020 and he lost by an armbar. Gustafsson put himself in a bad position and that led to the loss. He is averaging 4.02 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.42 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.54 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 39 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 83 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. Gustafsson is also averaging 0.4 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

Nikita Krylov comes into this fight with a 27-9 record overall but he has lost two fights in a row. In his last fight against Paul Craig, he was out striking his opponent 19-2 but he then got himself into a bad spot and that led to a loss by triangle choke. Krylov is averaging 4.35 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.44 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.43 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 35 percent of his takedown attempts. He only stops 54 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. He is also averaging 1.3 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

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Gustafsson is being disrespected by this number. There is no doubt that Gustafsson has struggled coming into this fight, but it’s not like Krylov has been exactly dominant in this fight. I expect Gustafsson is going to be strong on the feet and he is going to avoid the big shots of Krylov. With Gustafsson’s success on the feet, he is going to find a way to secure the victory. Back Gustafsson on the money line. 

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Shane’s Pick Alexander Gustafsson ML +160

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 8/17/22 | Ron's Rundown

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