UFC on ESPN 39: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Said Nurmagomedov Picks and Predictions

Said Nurmagomedov vs. Douglas Silva de Andrade

UFC: Saturday, July 9th at 9:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: -- Said Nurmagomedov -320 /Douglas Silva de Andrade +265 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Douglas Silva de Andrade and Said Numagomedov face off on Saturday in a bantamweight bout at UFC on ESPN 39 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Douglas Silva de Andrade comes into this fight with a 28-4 record overall and he was won two fights in a row. Silva de Andrade’s last fight came against Sergey Morozov in February of 2022 and it was in the second round that he locked in a rear-naked choke and ended the fight by a submission. D Silva is averaging 3.83 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.19 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.64 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 45 percent of his takedowns attempt. He also stops 68 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

On the other side of this matchup is Said Nurmagomedov who sits with a 15-2 record overall and he has won two fights in a row. In his last fight against Cody Stramann in January of 2022, it was only 47 seconds into the fight that he locked in a Guillotine choke and secured the victory. Nurmagomedov is averaging 4.75 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.35 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 044 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on only seven percent of his takedown attempts. He does stop 77 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. He doesn’t try a ton of submission attempts but he is dangerous when he locks one in. 

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Silva de Andrade is getting older and this is a very bad matchup for him. Nurmagomedov is a strong defensive fighter and he is going to not take a ton of damage here. D Silva take take a ton of damage and his a strong chin, but I don’t think he is going to land enough damage to get the job done. Back Nurmagomedov to win this fight by decision.

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Shane’s Pick Nurmagomedov by decision

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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