UFC on ESPN 38: Thiago Moises vs. Christos Giagos Picks and Predictions

Christos Giagos vs. Thiago Moises

UFC: Saturday, June 25th at 10:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Christos Giagos +200 / Thiago Moises -240 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: PPV Stream unmatched UFC coverage on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

Thiago Moises and Christos Giagos face off on Saturday in a lightweight showdown in the main card at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Thiago Moises comes into this fight with a 15-6 record overall but he has lost two fights in a row. Moises last five-game against Joel Alvarez in November of 2021 and he was dominated in that fight. Moises was outstruck 44-11 and that led to the unanimous decision loss. Moises is averaging 2.52 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.17 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.0 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 35 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 60 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

On the other side of this matchup is Christos Giagos who sits with a 19-9 record overall and he has won two of his last three fights. Giagos last fight came against Arman Tsarukyan in September of 2021 and he really struggled in that fight. Giagos was outstruck 22-1 and two minutes into the fight he was knocked out. Two fights ago against Sean Soriano in May of 2021 he won the fight by submission. Giagos is averaging 2.88 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.93 significant strikes per minute. Giagos wants to get the fight to the ground and he is averaging 3.31 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 41 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 52 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. He also averages 0.5 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

Moises has some losses in the UFC, but he has fought some strong fighters heading into this one. Moises has improved his striking, and I think he has an advantage in this fight with his hands. Giagos at times hasn’t stayed very busy inside the ring, and I don’t expect him to be very aggressive in this fight. Moises is going to control the fight and will secure the victory. Back Moises to win by decision. 

Shane’s Pick Thiago Moises to win by Decision

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NFL, NCAAF, MLB Best Bets Today Picks & Predictions Thursday 9/28/23 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.