UFC on ESPN 38: Josh Parisian vs. Alan Baudot Picks and Predictions

Josh Parisian vs. Alan Baudot face off on Saturday in a heavyweight showdown in the main card at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Josh Parisian comes into this fight with a 14-5 record overall but over his last three fights he only has one win. Parisians last came against Don’Tale Mayes in December of 2021 and he didn’t look good in that fight. Late in the third round, he took some big elbows and he was knocked out. Parisian is averaging 4.93 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.95 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.31 submission attempts every 15 minutes but is only successful on 11 percent of his attacks. He also stops 42 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

On the other side of this matchup is Alan Baudot who probably needs a win here or his UFC career might be over. Baudot currently sits with an 8-3 record overall but all three losses have come in the UFC. In Baudot’s last fight against Parker Porter, he was outstruck 55-43 and that led to the unanimous decision loss. Baudot is averaging 5.12 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.68 significant strikes per minute. He wants to keep the fight on the feet and hasn’t had a takedown in the UFC. Baudot does stop 75 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts.