UFC on ESPN 38: Josh Parisian vs. Alan Baudot Picks and Predictions

Click Here for the Latest Odds

Josh Parisian vs. Alan Baudot face off on Saturday in a heavyweight showdown in the main card at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Josh Parisian comes into this fight with a 14-5 record overall but over his last three fights he only has one win. Parisians last came against Don’Tale Mayes in December of 2021 and he didn’t look good in that fight. Late in the third round, he took some big elbows and he was knocked out. Parisian is averaging 4.93 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.95 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.31 submission attempts every 15 minutes but is only successful on 11 percent of his attacks. He also stops 42 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

On the other side of this matchup is Alan Baudot who probably needs a win here or his UFC career might be over. Baudot currently sits with an 8-3 record overall but all three losses have come in the UFC. In Baudot’s last fight against Parker Porter, he was outstruck 55-43 and that led to the unanimous decision loss. Baudot is averaging 5.12 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.68 significant strikes per minute. He wants to keep the fight on the feet and hasn’t had a takedown in the UFC. Baudot does stop 75 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

Both of these fighters want to keep the fight on their feet, and that’s where they will try to duke this out. This really is a true toss-up, but Baudot has looked so bad in the UFC and I don’t expect he has a ton of confidence heading into this one. Parisian is still more well-rounded than Baudot, and he is going to have the confidence to get the job done here. Back Parisian to win this on the money line. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NBA, MLB, NHL Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Monday 5/27/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.