UFC Fight Night 207: Alexander Volkov vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik Picks and Predictions

Alexander Volkov and Jairzinho Rozenstruik face off on Saturday in a heavyweight showdown in the main event at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Volkov is ranked 7th in the division while Rozenstruik is ranked 8th. 

Alexander “Drago” Volkov comes into this fight with a 34-10 record overall but he has lost two of his last three fights. Volkov’s last fight came against Tom Aspinall in March of 2022 and in the first round of that fight, he lost by an armbar. Volkov is averaging 4.83 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.04 significant strikes per minute Volkov is averaging 0.52 takedowns every 15 minutes, and he is successful on 70 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 71 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. Volkov is averaging 0.1 submission attempts every 15 minutes. In this fight, Volkov can’t be on his back foot early, he needs to be the aggressive one early. 

On the other side of this fight is Jairzinho “Bigi Boy” Rozenstruik who sits with a 12-3 record overall and he has also lost two of his last three fights. In his last fight against Curtis Blaydes, Bozenstruik was taken down three times and outstruck 32-18. Two fights ago against Augusto Sakai, he was dominant, and late in the first round, he finished the fight by knockout. Rozenstruik is averaging 2.80 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.07 significant strikes per minute. He wants to keep his fight on the feet, and he doesn’t have a takedown in the UFC. He is also stopping 75 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. Rozenstruik can put anyone to sleep at any time, and he will be going for the finish early.