UFC Fight Night 207: Alexander Volkov vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik Picks and Predictions

UFC Fight Night 207: Alexander Volkov vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik Picks and Predictions Photo by Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Alexander Volkov

UFC: Saturday, June 4th at 4:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Jairzinho Rozenstruik +125 / Alexander Volkov -150 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Alexander Volkov and Jairzinho Rozenstruik face off on Saturday in a heavyweight showdown in the main event at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Volkov is ranked 7th in the division while Rozenstruik is ranked 8th. 

Alexander “Drago” Volkov comes into this fight with a 34-10 record overall but he has lost two of his last three fights. Volkov’s last fight came against Tom Aspinall in March of 2022 and in the first round of that fight, he lost by an armbar. Volkov is averaging 4.83 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.04 significant strikes per minute Volkov is averaging 0.52 takedowns every 15 minutes, and he is successful on 70 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 71 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. Volkov is averaging 0.1 submission attempts every 15 minutes. In this fight, Volkov can’t be on his back foot early, he needs to be the aggressive one early. 

On the other side of this fight is Jairzinho “Bigi Boy” Rozenstruik who sits with a 12-3 record overall and he has also lost two of his last three fights. In his last fight against Curtis Blaydes, Bozenstruik was taken down three times and outstruck 32-18. Two fights ago against Augusto Sakai, he was dominant, and late in the first round, he finished the fight by knockout. Rozenstruik is averaging 2.80 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.07 significant strikes per minute. He wants to keep his fight on the feet, and he doesn’t have a takedown in the UFC. He is also stopping 75 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. Rozenstruik can put anyone to sleep at any time, and he will be going for the finish early. 

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This fight is taking place inside the smaller octagon at the UFC Apex, and that is an advantage for Rozenstruik. Rozenstruik isn’t afraid of anyone, and he has a mighty left hand that is going to be a problem for Volkov. I expect Rozenstruik is going to push the pace early and he is going to land one of his big left hands. Back Rozenstruik to win this by knockout. 

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Shane’s Pick Jairzinho Rozenstruik by Knockout

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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