UFC Fight Night 206: Andre Fialho vs. Miguel Baeza Picks and Predictions

UFC Fight Night 206: Andre Fialho vs. Miguel Baeza Picks and Predictions Photo by Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Miguel Baeza vs. Andre Fialho

UFC: Saturday, April 16th at 8:30 PM ET

The Line: -- Miguel Baeza -185 / Andre Fialho +150 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Andre Fialho and Miguel Baeza face off on Saturday in a welterweight showdown in the main card of UFC Fight NIght 206 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Andre Fialho comes into this fight with a 14-4 record and he will be fighting his second fight inside the UFC. Fialho’s first fight in the UFC came against Michael Pereira and he was tested and didn’t look good. He was outstruck 107-45 and was also taken down once on the way to the unanimous decision loss. Fiahlo is averaging 3.00 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 7.13 significant strikes per minute. Even though he was taken down once in the last fight he did stop 75 percent of the attempts and it’s clear that is a strength of his. Fialho is going to need to be better in this fight with not taking so many significant strikes early.

On the other side of this matchup is Miguel Baeza who comes into this fight with a 10-2 record overall. Baeza won his first four fights in the UFC, but he has lost two fights since that point. In Baeza’s last fight against Khaos Williams, he was outstruck 49-31 and early in the third round he was knocked out. Baeza is averaging 4.86 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.97 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.48 takedowns every 15 minutes but is only successful on 28 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 100 percent of his takedown attempts. Baeza is also averaging 1.9 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

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Baeza has struggled a bit the last couple of fights, but he is going to turn it around in this one. Baeza still has knockout power and he is going to inflict a ton of damage on Fialho in this fight. Look for Baeza to be aggressive early, and this one is going to be dominated early. Back Baeza on the money line. 

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Shane’s Pick Miguel Baeza ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 5/16/22 | Ron's Rundown

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