UFC 273: Vinc Pichel vs. Mark Madsen Picks and Predictions

Mark Madsen vs. Vinc Pichel

UFC: Saturday, April 9th at 10 PM ET

The Line: -- Mark Madsen +100 / Vinc Pichel -120 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: PPV Stream unmatched UFC coverage on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

Vinc Pichel and Mark Madsen face off on Saturday in the main card of UFC 273 in a lightweight bout at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Florida. Both of these guys are unranked but there is a ton of buzz around this matchup. 

Vinc Pichel comes into this fight with a 14-2 record overall and he has won three straight fights and each of those were by unanimous decision. Pichel’s last fight came against Austin Hubbard in August of 2021 and he got the job done. Pichel outstruck Hubbard 71-56 and that was enough to win by unanimous decision. Pichel is averaging 3.42 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.49 significant strikes per minute. Pichel wants to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 3.29 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 54 percent of his takedown attempts but only stops 25 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. He is also averaging 0.3 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

On the other side of this matchup is Mark Madsen who won the Olympic silver medal in the 2016 olympics. Madsen has a perfect 11-0 record and since coming into the UFC he has a perfect 3-0 record. Madsen’s last fight came against Clay Guida and that entire fight actually stayed on the feet and he won by split decision. Madsen outstruck Guida 98-72. Madsen is averaging 4.33 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.62 significant strikes per minute. Madsen wants to get the fight to the ground, averaging 4.33 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 60 percent of his takedown attempts. In this fight, I look for Madsen to try and get the fight to the ground, even against a good wrestler. 

Pichel is a very good wrestler, but this is a whole different matchup against Madsen. I expect Madsen is going to get the fight to the ground, and once it’s there he is going to dominate. The only chance Pichel has is to keep it on the feet but that isn’t going to happen. Back Madsen on the money line to cash.

Shane’s Pick Mark Madsen +100

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NBA, NCAAB, NHL Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Monday 3/4/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.