UFC 269: Kai Kara France vs. Cody Garbrandt Picks and Predictions

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Kai Kara France and Cody Garbrandt face off on Saturday in a main card showdown at UFC 269 in a flyweight bout at the T-Moble Arena in Las Vegas. France is currently the 6th ranked flyweight in the division while Garbrandt is ranked 7th. 

Kai Kara-France comes into this fight with a 22-9 record overall but over his last two fights he only has two wins. Kara-France’s last fight came against Rogerio Bontorin in March of 2021 and it was late in the first round Kara-France finished the fight by knockout. Kara-France is averaging 5.02 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.84 significant strikes per minute. Kara-France is averaging 0.53 successful takedowns every 15 minutes but he is only successful on 23 percent of her takedown attempts. He does stop 86 percent of his takedown attempts. 

On the other side of this matchup is Cody Garbrandt who sits with a 12-4 record overall but he has lost four of his last five fights. Garbrandt’s last fight came against Rob Font in May of 2021 and he really struggled in that fight. Garbrandt was outstruck 176-63 and he lost by unanimous decision. Garbrandt is averaging 3.17 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.14 significant strikes per minute. Garbrandt is averaging 1.05 takedowns every 15 minutes but he is only successful on 32 percent of his takedown attempts. Garbrandt also stops 83 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

Garbrandt has fought some tough competition coming into this one and that has prepared him well coming into this fight. Garbrandt is going to put some early pressure on Kara-France, and that is going to be the difference in this one. Back Garbrandt on the money line. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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