UFC Fight Night 191: Derek Brunson vs. Darren Till Picks and Predictions

Darren Till vs. Derek Brunson

UFC: Saturday, August 4th at 4:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Darren Till -175 /. Derek Brunson +145 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN+ Stream unmatched UFC coverage on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

Derek Brunson and Darren Till face off on Saturday in the main event of UFC Fight Night 191 in a middleweight bout at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Derek Brunson comes into this fight with a 22-7 record overall and he has won four fights in a row. Three of those last four wins have  been by unanimous decision. Brunson’s last win came against Kevin Holland in March of 2021 and he won that by unanimous decision. Brunson outstruck Holland 43-36 and he also had six takedowns in that fight. Brunson is averaging 3.46 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.72 significant strikes per minute. Brunson usually wants to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 3,11 successful takedowns every 15 minutes but he is only successful 33 percent of the time. He also stops 94 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. In this game if Brunson wants to come away with the victory he needs to get the fight to the ground. 

On the other side of this matchup is Darren Till who sits with an 18-3-1 record overall but he is coming off a loss. Till faced off with Robert Whittaker in July of 2020, and he didn’t look good in that fight. Till was taken down twice and outstruck 69-41. He has lost three of his last four fights, and this is the biggest fight of his UFC career. Till is averaging 2.27 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.99 significant strikes per minute. He usually wants to keep the fight on the feet, but is averaging 0.54 takedowns every 15 minutes. Till stops 82 percent of his opponents takedown attempts, and he is going to need to stop Brunson’s takedown attempts. 

The wrong guy is favored in this fight. Brunson doesn’t care who he is fighting, he is going to get the fight to the ground, and he will get Till down. Once Brunson gets the fight to the ground he is going to take advantage, and the underdog will pull the upset.

Shane’s Pick Derek Brunson ML

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NBA, NCAAB, NHL Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Sunday 2/25/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.