UFC Fight Night 191: Derek Brunson vs. Darren Till Picks and Predictions

UFC Fight Night 191: Derek Brunson vs. Darren Till Picks  and Predictions Photo by Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports

Darren Till vs. Derek Brunson

UFC: Saturday, August 4th at 4:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Darren Till -175 /. Derek Brunson +145 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Derek Brunson and Darren Till face off on Saturday in the main event of UFC Fight Night 191 in a middleweight bout at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Derek Brunson comes into this fight with a 22-7 record overall and he has won four fights in a row. Three of those last four wins have  been by unanimous decision. Brunson’s last win came against Kevin Holland in March of 2021 and he won that by unanimous decision. Brunson outstruck Holland 43-36 and he also had six takedowns in that fight. Brunson is averaging 3.46 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.72 significant strikes per minute. Brunson usually wants to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 3,11 successful takedowns every 15 minutes but he is only successful 33 percent of the time. He also stops 94 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. In this game if Brunson wants to come away with the victory he needs to get the fight to the ground. 

On the other side of this matchup is Darren Till who sits with an 18-3-1 record overall but he is coming off a loss. Till faced off with Robert Whittaker in July of 2020, and he didn’t look good in that fight. Till was taken down twice and outstruck 69-41. He has lost three of his last four fights, and this is the biggest fight of his UFC career. Till is averaging 2.27 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.99 significant strikes per minute. He usually wants to keep the fight on the feet, but is averaging 0.54 takedowns every 15 minutes. Till stops 82 percent of his opponents takedown attempts, and he is going to need to stop Brunson’s takedown attempts. 

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The wrong guy is favored in this fight. Brunson doesn’t care who he is fighting, he is going to get the fight to the ground, and he will get Till down. Once Brunson gets the fight to the ground he is going to take advantage, and the underdog will pull the upset.

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Shane’s Pick Derek Brunson ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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