UFC Vegas 35: Kevin Lee vs. Daniel Rodriguez Picks and Predictions

Daniel Rodriguez vs. Kevin Lee

UFC: Saturday, August 28th at 10:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Daniel Rodriguez +125 /. Kevin Lee -145 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Kevin Lee and Daniel Rodriguez face off in a welterweight bout in a main card showdown at the UFC Vegas 35 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. 

Kevin “The Motown Phenom” Lee comes into this fight with an 18-6 record overall but he has lost three of his last four fights. Lee’s last fight came against Charles Oliveria in March of 2020, and early in the third round, he lost by guillotine choke. Lee’s last win came in November of 2019 and it was midway through the first round he finished the fight by knockout. Lee is averaging 3.90 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.23 significant strikes per minute. Lee is averaging 3.21 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 43 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. Lee also stops 75 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. Lee also is averaging 0.8 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

Daniel Rodriguez comes into this fight with a 15-2 record overall and since coming into the UFC he has won six of his seven fights. Rodriguez’s last fight was in July of 2021 against Preston Parsons, and it was in the first round he won by knockout. Rodriguez was out striking his opponent 45-23 and that led to the victory. Rodriguez is a pressure fighter and he is averaging 8.07 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.71 significant strikes per minute. Rodriguez is averaging 1.00 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 55 percent of his takedown attempts. Rodriguez is also stopping 83 percent of his takedown attempts. 

Rodriguez is a pressure fighter, and his pressure is going to be too much in this fight. Look for Rodriguez to inflict a ton of damage and that is going to be the difference as Kevin Lee is worn down. Back Rodriguez to win this fight on the money line.

Shane’s Pick Daniel Rodriguez +125

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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