UFC Vegas 34: Jared Cannonier vs. Kelvin Gastelum Picks and Predictions

Kelvin Gastelum vs Jared Cannonier

UFC: Saturday, September 21st at 10:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Kelvin Gastelum +125 / Jared Cannonier -150 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN Stream unmatched UFC coverage on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

Jared Cannonier and Kelvin Gastelum face off in a middleweight showdown for the main event of UFC Vegas 34 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Cannonier is currently ranked 3rd in the division while Gastelum is ranked 9th. 

Jared “The Killa Gorilla” Cannonier comes into this fight with a 13-5 record overall and he has won three of his last four fights. The one loss during that stretch for Cannonier came in his last fight against Robert Whittaker. Cannonier was outstruck 69-53 and that led to the unanimous decision defeat. Cannonier is averaging 3.70 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.09 significant strikes per minute. Cannonier likes to keep the fight on the feet and he is averaging only 0.16 takedowns every 15 minutes. Cannonier also stops 54 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. The last three wins by Cannonier have been by knockout and there is no doubt that he is going to hunt for that early.

On the other side of this fight is Kelvin Gastelum who sits with a 17-7 record overall but he has lost three of his last four fights. In Gastelum’s last fight against Robert Whittaker, he really struggled being outstruck 150-62 and that led to the unanimous decision loss. Gastelum was also taken down four times in that fight. The last two wins for Gastelum have come by decision. Gastelum is averaging 3.52 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.24 significant strikes per minute. Gastelum often likes to get the fight to the ground and he is averaging 1.16 successful takedowns every 15 minutes but is only successful on 37 percent of her takedown attempts. Gastelum also stops 62 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

Kelvin Gastelum is struggling coming into this fight, and I don’t think it’s going to change in this one. Cannonier is going to use his power early, and that will be the difference as the favorite wins this fight by knockout. 

Shane’s Pick Jared Cannonier by knockout

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NBA, MLB, NCAAB, Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Thursday 3/28/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss