UFC Vegas 34: Clay Guida vs. Mark Madsen Picks and Predictions

UFC Vegas 34: Clay Guida vs. Mark Madsen Picks and Predictions Photo by Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Mark Madsen vs. Clay Guida

UFC: Saturday, September 21st at 10:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Mark Madsen -165 / Clay Guida +140 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Clay Guida and Mark Madsen face off in a lightweight showdown for the main event of UFC Vegas 34 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Clay Guida is one of the legends of the UFC and overall he comes into this fight with a 36-17 record overall. Guida’s last fight was against Michael Johnson in February of 2021, and that was a fight he won by unanimous decision. Guida was outstruck 58-49 in that fight, but he had three takedowns and that led to the unanimous decision victory. Guida is averaging 2.24 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.57 significant strikes per minute. Guida likes to get the fight to the ground and is currently averaging 3.36 takedowns every 15 minutes. Guida is only successful on 38 percent of his attempts but he will try many attempts per fight. Guida at times will also try to lock in the submission doing 0.7 attempts every 15 minutes. 

On the other side of this matchup is Mark “The Olympian” Madsen who comes into this fight with a 10-0 record overall and since coming into the UFC he has won two fights in a row. Madsen is a wrestler first and his goal is to get the fight to the ground. Madsen is averaging 2.28 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.53 significant strikes per minute. Madsen is averaging 8.33 takedowns every 15 minutes, and he is successful on 64 percent of his takedown attempts. 

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One thing we know for sure is that this fight is going to be fought on the ground. Both of these fighters like to wrestle, so there should be plenty of wrestling in this fight. Madsen has the perfect record, but he is going to lose this one. Guida is going to make life tough on Madsen and he isn’t going to be worn down by the wrestling. It won’t be the prettiest fight, but Guida will come away with the victory.

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Shane’s Pick Clay Guida +140

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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