UFC Vegas 34: Clay Guida vs. Mark Madsen Picks and Predictions

Click Here for the Latest Odds

Clay Guida and Mark Madsen face off in a lightweight showdown for the main event of UFC Vegas 34 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Clay Guida is one of the legends of the UFC and overall he comes into this fight with a 36-17 record overall. Guida’s last fight was against Michael Johnson in February of 2021, and that was a fight he won by unanimous decision. Guida was outstruck 58-49 in that fight, but he had three takedowns and that led to the unanimous decision victory. Guida is averaging 2.24 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.57 significant strikes per minute. Guida likes to get the fight to the ground and is currently averaging 3.36 takedowns every 15 minutes. Guida is only successful on 38 percent of his attempts but he will try many attempts per fight. Guida at times will also try to lock in the submission doing 0.7 attempts every 15 minutes. 

On the other side of this matchup is Mark “The Olympian” Madsen who comes into this fight with a 10-0 record overall and since coming into the UFC he has won two fights in a row. Madsen is a wrestler first and his goal is to get the fight to the ground. Madsen is averaging 2.28 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.53 significant strikes per minute. Madsen is averaging 8.33 takedowns every 15 minutes, and he is successful on 64 percent of his takedown attempts. 

One thing we know for sure is that this fight is going to be fought on the ground. Both of these fighters like to wrestle, so there should be plenty of wrestling in this fight. Madsen has the perfect record, but he is going to lose this one. Guida is going to make life tough on Madsen and he isn’t going to be worn down by the wrestling. It won’t be the prettiest fight, but Guida will come away with the victory.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Sunday 7/21/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.