UFC 265: Bobby Green vs. Rafael Fiziev Picks and Predictions

Rafael Fiziev vs. Bobby Green

UFC: Saturday, September 7th at 10:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Rafael Fiziev -300 / Bobby Green +240 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Bobby Green and Rafael Fiziev face off on Saturday in a lightweight showdown in the prelim card of UFC 265 at the Toyota Center in Houston.

Bobby “King” Green comes into this fight with a 27-11-1 record overall and coming into this fight he has won three of his last four fights. The only loss during that stretch was in his last fight against Thiago Moises. In that fight, he lost by unanimous decision. Green’s last win came back in September of 2020 against Alan Patrick, a fight that he dominated. Green outstruck Patrick 61-19 and he also had four takedowns in that fight. Green is averaging 5.17 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.32 significant strikes per minute. Green is averaging 1.56 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 41 percent of his takedown attempts. Green also stops 71 percent of his opponents' takedown attempts. Each of the last three wins for Green has come by unanimous decision. 

Rafael Fiziev comes into this fight with a 9-1 record overall and after losing his first fight in the UFC he has won three straight. Fiziev’s last fight came against Renato Moicano in December of 2020 and it was late in the first round that he won by knockout. Fiziev is averaging 4.67 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.17 significant strikes per minute. Fiziev is averaging 0.84 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 50 percent of his takedown attempts. Fiziev also does a good job of keeping the fight on the feet, stopping 100 percent of his opponents' takedown attempts. 

Bobby Green is going to put the pressure on early, and that is going to be the difference in this fight. I think Green is going to find a way to get this fight to the ground, and that will be the difference. Back Green on the money line. 

Shane’s Pick Bobby Green +240

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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