UFC on ESPN 28: Danny Chavez vs. Kai Kamaka Picks and Predictions

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Danny Chavez and Kai Kamaka face off on Saturday in a featherweight bout in a prelim card showdown at UFC on ESPN 28 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Danny “The Colombian Warrior” Chavez comes into this fight with an 11-4 record overall and since coming into the UFC he has a 1-1 record. Chavez won his UFC opener against TJ Brown, but in his last fight against Jared Gordon, in February of 2021, he was defeated. Chavez was taken down twice in that fight and was also outstruck 82-39. Chavez is averaging 2.93 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.17 significant strikes per minute. Chavez likes to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 2.50 takedowns every 15 minutes, and is successful on 100 percent of his takedown attempts. Chavez also stops 84 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

On the other side of this fight is Kai Kamaka who comes into this fight with an 8-4 record overall but since coming into the UFC he has lost two of his three fights. Kamaka’s last fight was against KJ Brown, and he lost by split decision. Kamaka was competitive in that fight, but he was taken down twice, and that was the difference as he lost by split decision. Kamaka is averaging 5.63 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 6.26 significant strikes per minute. Kamaka is averaging 2.66 successful takedowns every 15 minutes. 

Chavez has beaten TJ Brown, while Kamaka has lost to him. Chavez is the better fighter and is going to find success in this one. Look for Kamaka to take a lot of damage again in this one. Look for Chavez to pull off the minor upset.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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