UFC on ESPN 26: Rodolfo Vieira vs. Dustin Stoltzfus Picks and Predictions

Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Rodolfo Vieira

UFC: Saturday, July 17th at 10:00 PM EDT

The Line: -- Dustin Stoltzfus +180 / Rodolfo Vieira -235 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Rodolfo Vieira and Dustin Stoltzfus face off in the main card of UFC on ESPN 26 in a middleweight bout at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Rodolfo Vieira comes into this fight with a 7-1 record overall and since coming into the UFC he has won two of the three fights. Vieira’s last fight came against Anthony Hernandez in February of 2021 and it was in the second round that he got put in a bad position, and Vieira was submitted by guillotine choke. Each of his two wins inside the UFC has come by guillotine choke. Vieira is averaging 1.66 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.06 significant strikes per minute. Vieira likes to get to the fight ground, and he is averaging 7.00 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 47 percent of his takedown attempts, but he struggles to stop his opponents' takedown attempts.  In this fight, he is going to try to get it to the ground and lock in a submission attempt. 

Dustin Stoltzfus comes into this fight with a 13-2 record overall and since coming into the UFC he has a 1-1 record overall. Stoltzfus’s last fight came against Kyle Daukaus in November of 2020 and he lost that fight by unanimous decision. He was outstruck 64-32 and that led to the defeat. Stoltzfus is averaging 2.48 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.53 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.78 takedowns every 15 minutes but he is only successful on 12 percent of his takedown attempts. He is also averaging 0.8 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

Stoltzfus looked awful in his last fight, and it’s not going to get any easier in this one. Look for Vieira to get this fight to the ground, and he is going to lock in the submission. Back Vieira to win by submission. 

Shane’s Pick Rodolfo Vieira by submission

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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