UFC Vegas 29: Aleksei Oleinik vs. Serghei Spivac Picks and Predictions

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Aleksei Oleinik and Serghei Spivac face off in a heavyweight bout for the co-main event of UFC Vegas 29 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Aleksei Oleinik comes into this fight with a 59-15-1 record overall but over his last six fights, he only has two wins. Oleinik’s last fight came against Chris Daukas in February of 2021, and it was early in the first round that he was knocked out. Each of his last two losses has been by knockout, and his chin looks to be a little weak right now. Oleinik’s last win came in May of 2020 against Fabrico Werdum, and that was by a split decision. Oleinik comes into this fight averaging 3.47 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.85 significant strikes per minute. Oleinik likes to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 2.38 takedowns every 15 minutes, and he is successful on 46 percent of his takedown attempts. Oleinik stops 33 percent of his opponent’s takedown attempts. Oleinik is averaging 2.4 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

Serghei “Polar Bear” Spivac comes into this fight with a 12-2 record overall and he has won two fights in a row heading into this game. Spivac’s last fight came against Jared Vanderaa in February of 2020 and it was late in the second round he was able to win the fight by knockout. Spivac was dominating the fight and at the time of the knockout, Spivac was out striking his opponent 51-13. Spivac is averaging 3.58 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.84 significant strikes per minute. Spivac is averaging 3.70 takedowns every 15 minutes, and he is successful on 63 percent of his successful takedowns every 15 minutes. Spivac is also stopping 70 percent of his opponent’s takedown attempts. 

Spivac is the better fighter, and he is going to attack Oleinik who clearly has a bad chin. Spivac is going to land some big punches early, and it won’t take long for him to finish this fight. Back Spivac to win this fight by knockout.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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