UFC 262: Matt Schnell vs. Rogerio Bontorin Picks and Predictions

Rogerio Bontorin vs. Matt Schnell

UFC: Saturday, May 15th at 10:00 PM (Toyota Center)

The Line: -- Rogerio Bontorin +140 Matt Schnell -160 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Matt Schnell and Rogerio Bontorin face off in a bantamweight bout in the main card at UFC 262 at the Toyota Center in Houston.

Matt Schnell comes into this fight with a 15-5 record overall and he has won five of his last six fights. Schnell’s last fight was against Tyson Nam in January of 2021 and he was able to win that fight by split decision. Schnell outstruck Nam 85-58 and that was the difference in the fight. Schnell is averaging 4.20 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.02 significant strikes per minute. Schnell is averaging 0.48 takedowns every 15 minutes but he is only successful on 33 percent of his takedown attempts. Schnell is also averaging 1.2 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

Rogerio Bontorin comes into this fight with a 16-3 record overall and since coming into the UFC he has a 3-2 record. The big problem for Bontorin though is that those two losses have come in each of his last two fights. Bontorin’s last fight came against Kai Kara-France in March of 2021 and late in the first round he was knocked out. Bontorin did have one takedown in that fight, but it still wasn’t enough as he was knocked out. Bontorin is averaging 2.19 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.12 significant strikes per minute. Bontorin Is averaging 1.90 successful takedowns every 15 minutes but he is only successful 40 percent of the time. Bontorin is also averaging 1.5 submission attempts every 15 minutes. In this fight, Bontorin can’t fall behind early, or this fight could be over early.

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Schnell is no doubt the better fighter and he is going to have no issue getting the job done. Look for Bontorin to take one of the big punches and that will be the difference. Back Schnell to win this fight by knockout. 

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Shane’s Pick Matt Schnell by knockout

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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