UFC on ESPN 24: Marina Rodriguez vs. Michelle Waterson Picks and Predictions

Michelle Waterson at Marina Rodriguez

UFC: Saturday, April 8th at 8:00 PM (UFC Apex)

The Line: -- Marina Rodriguez -215 / Michelle Waterson +185 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Marina Rodriguez and Michelle Waterson face off on Saturday for the main event of UFC on ESPN 24 in a women’ flyweight battle at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Michelle “The Karate Hottie” Waterson comes into this fight with an 18-8 record overall but coming into this fight he has lost two of her last three fights. The one win during that stretch came in her last fight against Angela Hill in September of 2020. It was a competitive fight that Waterson was able to win the fight by decision. Waterson is averaging 3.58 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.00 significant strikes per minute. Waterson is also averaging 1.52 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and she is successful on 34 percent of her takedown attempts. Waterson also stops 67 percent of her opponens takedown attempts. 

On the other side of this fight is Marina Rodriguez who comes into this fight with a 13-1-2 record overall but in her last three fights Her last fight came against Amanda Ribas in January of 2021 and she was able to finish that fight by knockout. Rodriguez on the season is averaging 4.86 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.1 significant strikes per minute. Rodriguez is averaging 0.36 successful takedowns every 15 minutes but she is only successful on 33 percent of the takedown attempts.Rodriguez is also stopping 56 percent of her opponents' takedown attempts. Rodriguez has knockout power and she needs to try to finish this fight early. The longer the fight goes on the worst the chance that Rodriguez wins this fight. 

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Rodriguez is the more talented fighter but I really don’t trust her at this point and Waterson is going to find success in this fight. Waterson is going to do a good job of avoiding the knockout and she will control the fight. Back Waterson to win this fight. 

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Shane’s Pick Michelle Waterson +185

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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