UFC on ESPN 23:Dominick Reyes vs. Jiri Prochazka Picks and Predictions

Jiri Prochazka vs. Dominick Reyes

Saturday, April 1st at 10:00 PM (UFC Apex)

The Line: Jiri Prochazka -140 /Dominick Reyes +110 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Dominick Reyes and Jiri Prochazka face off on Saturday in the main event of UFC on ESPN 23 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Dominick “The Devastator” Reyes comes into this fight with a 12-2 record overall but each of those two losses have come in their last two losses. Reyes last fight came against Jan Blachowicz in September of 2020 and it was late in the second round that Reyes was finished in the second round by knockout. Reyes is averaging 4.53 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.16 significant strikes per minute. Reyes is averaging only 0.20 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and he is only successful on 16 percent of his takedown attempts. Reyes In this fight Reyes is going to need to get out to a fast start and not get worn down with punches early. 

On the other side of this fight is Jiri “Denisa” Prochazka who comes into this fight with a 27-3-1 record overall and since coming into the UFC he has a 1-0 record. Prochazka’s only fight in the UFC came against Volkan Oezdemir in July of 2020 and in the second round he was able to win the fight by knockout. Prochazka is averaging 5.67 significant strikes per minute while their defense is giving up 7.05 significant strikes per minute. Prochazka is stopping 100 percent of his opponents' takedown attempts. The one concern heading into this fight has to be with how much damage he took in his first fight. 

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Reyes is going to bounce back in a big way. Prochazka took too much damage in his first fight and he is going to be let down in this fight. Reyes is going to wear down Prochazka and that will lead to Reyes coming away with a victory. If you are looking for even a little more value. betting Reyes to win by knockout is also worth throwing a few dollars on.

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Shane’s Pick Dominick Reyes +110

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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