UFC Fight Island 8: Warlley Alves vs. Mounir Lazzez Picks and Predictions

Mounir Lazzez vs. Warlley Alves

Wednesday, January 20th at 12:00 PM ET

The Line: -- Mounir Lazzez -240 / Warlley Alves +200 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Warlley Alves and Mounir Lazzez face off in the co-main event in a welterweight bout at UFC Fight Island 8 on Wednesday at UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi. 

Warlley Alves overall has a 14-4 record overall but coming into this fight he sits with a 1-2 record overall. Alves last fight though came all the way back in November of 2019 against Randy Brown and in the second round he was finished by submission. Alves last win came back in May of 2019 and he was able to finish that fight by knockout. Each of his last two wins have come by knockout. Alves is averaging 3.01 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.69 significant strikes per minute. Alves is averaging 1.39 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 52 percent of his takedown attempts. Alves also stops 75 percent of his opponents' takedown attempts. Alves at times gets himself caught in bad positions, and he can’t let that be the case in this game.

On the other side of this matchup is Mounir “The Sniper” Lazzez who has fought one fight inside the UFC and it was quite an impressive showing. Lazzez’s one fight inside the UFC was against Abdul Razek Alhassan and in that fight he had four takedowns. Lazzez also outstruck his opponent 98-67 and that was enough to come away with the unanimous decision. Lazzez is averaging 6.53 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.47 significant strikes per minute. Lazzez is averaging 4.00 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and he stops 75 percent of his opponents' takedown attempts. 

If Alves is smart he will try to keep the fight on the feet while Lazzez should be trying to get the fight to the ground. I think Alves will be successful in keeping the fight off the ground and that will be the difference as Alves comes away with the victory. 

Shane’s Pick Warlley Alves +200

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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