UFC Vegas 17: Jose Aldo vs. Marlon Vera Picks and Predictions

UFC Vegas 17: Jose Aldo vs. Marlon Vera Picks and Predictions Photo by Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Marlon Vera vs. Jose Aldo

Saturday, December 19, 2020 at 7:00 PM (UFC APEX)

The Line: Jose Aldo -150 / Marlon Vera +130 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Jose Aldo and Marlon Vera face off on Saturday in a bantamweight bout for the co-main event of UFC Vegas 17 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Jose Aldo is one of the best fighters in UFC history but there has to be some questions if it’s about time for him to hang it up. Aldo currently sits with a 28-7 record overall but he has lost three fights in a row. Aldo’s last fight came against Petr Yan in July of 2020 and he was dominated. Aldo was outstruck 194-83 and late in the fifth round he was knocked out. Aldo’s last win came back in February of 2019 four flights ago and in that one he was by knockout early in the second round. Aldo is averaging 3.48 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.55 significant strikes per minute. Aldo mostly likes to keep the fight on the feet and is averaging 0.60 takedowns every 15 minutes.

On the other side of this matchup is Marlon “Chito” Vera who comes into this game with a 16-6-1 record overall and coming into this fight he has won six of his last seven fights. Vera’s last fight came in August of 2020 against Sean O’Malley and late in the first round he was able to finish the fight with his elbows. Vera is averaging 3.70 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.05 significant strikes per minute. Vera is also averaging 0.86 submission attempts every 15 minutes and he is successful 42 percent of the time. Vera also likes to try and lock in submissions and coming into this one he is averaging 1.2 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

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I don’t trust Aldo and it’s honestly a bit surprising that he is the one favored in this game. Also should really think about retiring and he isn’t going to have success in this one. Back Vera to get the job done on the money line.

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Shane’s Pick Marlon Vera +130

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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