UFC Vegas 14: Rafael dos Anjos vs. Paul Felder Picks and Predictions

UFC Vegas 14: Rafael dos Anjos vs. Paul Felder Picks and Predictions Photo by Jasmin Frank-USA TODAY Sports

Paul Felder vs. Rafael dos Anjos

Saturday, November 14, 2020 at 7:00 PM (UFC APEX)

The Line: Paul Felder +150 / Rafael dos Anjos -190 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Rafael dos Anjos and Paul Felder face off in a lightweight bout for the main event of UFC Vegas 14 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Islam Makhachev was originally supposed to fight dos Anjos but he had to pull out and Felder is stepping in on five days notice. 

There is a lot of buzz around Paul Felder heading into this fight including could this be his last fight inside the UFC. Felder comes into this fight with a 17-5 record overall and coming into this fight he has won two of his last three fights. The one loss for Felder did come in the last fight against Dan Hooker in February of 2020. Felder actually looked good in that fight but he lost by split decision. Felder comes into this fight averaging 3.67 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.40 significant strikes per minute. Felder likes to keep the fight on the feet and is averaging 0.25 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on only 25 percent of his attempts. Felder also is pretty good against the takedown stopping 61 percent of his opponents' attempts. 

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On the other side of this fight is Rafael dos Anjos who has a 29-13 record overall but coming into this one he has lost two fights in a row. Dos Anjos last fight came against Michael Chiesa in January of 2020 dos Anjos was taken down six times and that led to a unanimous decision loss. Each of dos Anjos last two wins have come by submission, even though that isn’t something he always relies on. Dos Anjos comes into this fight averaging 3.47 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.18 significant strikes per minute. Dos Anjos is also averaging 1.82 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 39 percent of his attempts. He is also averaging 1.82 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 39 percent of them. 

The short notice is a bit of concern but I still like him to get the job done in this one. Felder has a strong chin and he is going to take some damage but he will find a way to get the job done in this one. Back Felder as an underdog to win this fight.

See Who Our Experts Picked To Win

Shane’s Pick Paul Felder +150

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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