UFC on ESPN 16: Holly Holm vs. Irene Aldana Picks and Predictions

UFC on ESPN 16: Holly Holm vs. Irene Aldana Picks and Predictions Photo by Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

Irene Aldana vs. Holly Holm

UFC: Saturday, October 3rd at 10:30 PM (Yas Island)

The Line: -- Holly Holm -120 / Irene Aldana +100 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Holly Holm and Irene Aldana face off in a women’s bantamweight showdown for the main event of UFC on ESPN 16 at Fight Island at Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Holm is currently ranked 2nd in the division while Aldana is currently ranked sixth. 

Holly “The Preacher’s Daughter” Holm is one of the most popular fighters in the UFC and although at times she has struggled inside the UFC she has won two of her last three fights. Overall Holm has a 13-5 record and her last fight was a victory over Raquel Pennington in January of 2020. In that fight, Holm was actually outstruck, but there was still very little doubt that she had come away with the victory. Holm comes into this fight averaging 2.75 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.80 significant strikes per minute. Holm is averaging 0.50 successful takedowns every 15 minutes but she is only successful on 27 percent of her attempts. Holm also stops 76 percent of her opponents' takedown attempts. Holm also attempts 0.1 submission attempts every 15 minutes. In this fight Holm needs to not be tentative early 

Irene Aldana comes into this fight with a 12-5 record and coming into this one she has won two fights in a row. Aldana’s last fight came in December of 2019 against Ketlen Viera in December of 2019 and in that fight it was late in the first round that she finished the fight by knockout. Aldana is averaging 6.16 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.92 significant strikes per minute. Aldana is averaging 0.28 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and she is only successful on 50 percent of her attempts. Aldana is also averaging 0.1 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

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Holm is the more experienced fighter, but Aldana’s pressure is going to be too much. Aldana isn’t afraid to take damage and she is going to take some in this one, but it won’t be enough for her to lose. Back Aldana to get the job done, and climb up the rankings. If you are looking for another small bet take Aldana to finish the fight by finish. 

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Shane’s Pick Irene Aldana +100

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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