Joanne Calderwood vs. Jennifer Maia - 8/1/20 UFC Fight Night 173 Pick and Prediction
Photo by Per Haljestam-USA TODAY Sports
Jennifer Maia vs. Joanna Calderwood
Saturday, August 1, 2020 at 10:00 PM (UFC APEX)
The Line: -- Joanne Calderwood -150 / Jennifer Maia +120 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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Joanne Calderwood and Jennifer Maia face off in a women’s flyweight showdown in the main event of UFC Fight Night 173 at the UFC Apex, in Las Vegas Nevada. Calderwood is currently ranked third in the division while Maia is currently ranked sixth.
Joanne “JoJo” Calderwood comes into this fight with a 14-4 record overall and in her last four fights, she has three wins. Calderwood hopes with a few more wins she will get a title shot, and a win in this fight could be enough to give her that shot. Calderwood’s last fight came against Andrea Lee and in that fight, she outstruck Lee 101-61. That fight went all the way to the judges' scorecard and she won by a split decision. Calderwood’s last fight win by decision came all the way back in 2018 when he won in the first round by armbar.
Calderwood is averaging 6.19 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.31 significant strikes per minute. Calderwood is also averaging 1.85 successful takedowns every 15 minutes being successful on 56 percent Calderwood is also averaging 0.5 submission attempts every 15 minutes.
Jennifer Maia comes into this fight with a 17-6-1 record overall and over her last three fights she has two losses. The one loss during that stretch by Maia was in her last UFC fight against Katlyn Chookagian in November of 2019. In that fight, Maia did have one takedown, but she was outstruck 73-58, and that led to the loss. Each of Maia’s four fights have gone to a decision so her game plan is to try and wear down the other fight.
Maia is averaging 4.05 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.78 significant strikes per minute. Maia also likes to keep the fight on the feet averaging only 0.25 successful takedowns every 15 minutes. In this fight, Maia needs to keep the fight on the feet and try to wear down Calderwood as the fight goes on. She also needs to watch for the armbar because Calderwood will probably try to finish the fight that way.
Calderwood is the better fighter and she is going to get the job done in this game. Her ability to get the fight to the ground will be the difference as she wins this fight at a nice price.