Joe Duffy vs. Joel Alvarez - 7/18/20 UFC Fight Night 172 Pick and Prediction

Joe Duffy vs. Joel Alvarez - 7/18/20 UFC Fight Night 172 Pick and Prediction Photo by Per Haljestam-USA TODAY Sports

Joel Alvarez vs. Joe Duffy

Saturday, July 18, 2020 at 7:00 PM (Flash Forum)

The Line: Joe Duffy -365 / Joel Alvarez +285 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Joe Duffy and Joel Alvarez face off in a catchweight bout at UFC Fight Night which will take place at UFC’s Fight Island in Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates. Like the last few events, there will be no fans in attendance for this event. Both of these guys are currently unranked. 

Joe “Irish” Duffy has had some success during his UFC career and coming into this fight he has a 16-4 record. Since coming into the UFC Duffy has won four of his seven fights. Over the last two fights though he has lost each of the last two fights. Duffy’s last fight came against Marc Diakiese in March of 2019. In that fight, Duffy was outstruck 63-15 and that led to the unanimous decision. 

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Since coming into the UFC, Duffy is averaging 2.56 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.63 significant strikes per minute. Duffy is also averaging 0.75 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and 0.0 submission attempts during the same time period. 

Joel “El Fenomeno” Alvarez comes into this fight with a 16-2 record and since entering the UFC he has a 1-1 record. To start Alvarez’s UFC career he had to face off with Damir Ismagulov in February of 2019. IN that fight, Alvarez was outstruck 64-38 and that led to the loss. Alvarez’s last fight came against Danilo Belluardo in June of 2019. In that fight, Alvarez was taken down twice, but in the second round he finished the fight with a knockout. 

Alvarez is averaging 2.55 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.44 significant strikes per minute. With Alvarez he wants to keep the fight on the ground, but the one place he does need to improve is to stop his opponents takedown attempts. 

Joe Duffy is a big favorite in this fight, and for good reason, he is going to get the job done. Look for Duffy to get the fight to the ground, and that will be the difference in this one. It might go to the end, but Duffy will come away with the win.

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Shane’s Pick Joe Duffy ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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