Jack Hermansson vs. Kelvin Gastelum - 7/18/20 UFC Fight Night 172 Pick and Prediction

Jack Hermansson vs. Kelvin Gastelum - 7/18/20 UFC Fight Night 172 Pick and Prediction Photo by John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Jack Hermansson

Saturday, July 18, 2020 at 9:30 PM (Flash Forum)

The Line: Kelvin Gastelum -115 / Jack Hermansson -105 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Jack Hermansson and Kelvin Gastelum off in a middleweight bout for the co-main event at UFC Fight Night which will take place at UFC’s Fight Island in Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates. Like the last few events, there will be no fans in attendance for this event. Hermansson is currently ranked sixth in the division while Gastelum is ranked seventh. 

Jack “The Joker” Hermansson has found a lot of success throughout his career and coming into this fight he has a 20-5 record. Hermansson has also won four of his last five fights with the only loss coming against Jared Cannonier. In the last fight, Hermansson fought Jared Cannonier and early in the second round he took a big punch from Cannonier and that led to a knockout loss. 

Hermansson is averaging 5.13 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.56 significant strikes per minute. Hermansson is averaging 2.23 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and 0.7 submission attempts during the same time period. Two of his last three wins came by submission. 

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Kelvin Gastelum really needs to win this fight, or there are going to be some big struggles. Gastelum comes into this fight with a 16-5 record overall but in his last two fights he has lost each of them.Two fights ago Gastelum lost to Israel Adesanya. Gastelum’s last fight came against Darren Till and he actually outstruck Till in that fight, but he came away with the split decision loss.

Gastelum is averaging 3.75 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.01 significant strikes per minute. Gastelum is also averaging 0.80 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and 0.1 submission attempts during the same period. Gastelum wants to keep the fight on the feet and in this one he is going to try and throw power punches early.

Gastelum probably should have won the last fight but the judges' decision went against him. In this fight, Gastelum is going to come out early and try to finish the fight. He isn’t going to let this one get to the judges' scorecard. Look for Gastelum to finish this fight by knockout.

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Shane’s Pick Kelvin Gastelum -115

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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