Petr Yan vs. Jose Aldo - 7/11/20 UFC 251 Pick and Prediction

Petr Yan vs. Jose Aldo - 7/11/20 UFC 251 Pick and Prediction Photo by Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports

Jose Aldo vs. Petr Yan

Saturday, July 11, 2020 at 11:00 PM (UFC Fight Island)

The Line: Petr Yan -240 / Jose Aldo +180 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Petr Yan and Jose Aldo face off for the bantamweight belt at UFC 251 which will take place at UFC’s Fight Island in Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates. Like the last few events, there will be no fans in attendance for this event. Yan is the number three contender while Aldo is the number sixth ranked contender. 

Petr “No Mercy” Yan has felt for a while like he has deserved a chance at the title shot. Coming into this fight Yan has a 14-1 record overall and since coming into the UFC he has won all six of his events. Yan’s last fight came in December of 2019 against Urijah Faber and it was a really dominant performance. 

In that fight Yan had two takedowns, landed 54 significant strikes and early in the third round he had finally wore him down enough to win the fight by knockout. 

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Yan comes into this fight averaging 5.65 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.15 significant strikes per minute. Yan is also averaging 1.73 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and 0.2 submission attempts during the same time period. 

There has been some argument made about Jose Aldo and if he even deserves a title shot in this fight. Overall in his career Aldo has a 28-6 record, but he has lost each of the last two fights. Aldo’s last fight against Marlon Moraes came in December of 2019 and it was a very even fight. Aldo was taken down once in that fight and that probably was enough for him to lose it by split decision. 

During Aldo’s career, he is averaging  3.47 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.18 significant strikes per minute. Aldo is also averaging 0.64 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and 0.1 submission attempts during the same time period. 

Peter Yan is the big favorite in this fight, and for good reason, Aldo has proven that he is a shell of his former self. Yan’s last fight was won by knockout and that is what he is going to do again in this one. Back Yan to win this fight by knockout for extra value.

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Shane’s Pick Petr Yan by TKO

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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