Karl Roberson vs. Marvin Vettori - 6/13/20 UFC Fight Night 172 Pick and Prediction
Photo by Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
Marvin Vettori vs. Karl Roberson
Saturday, June 13, 2020 at 9:45 PM (UFC APEX)
The Line: Karl Roberson +130 / Marvin Vettori -150 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Karl Roberson and Marvin Vettori face off in a middleweight bout for the co-main event of UFC Fight Night 172 at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Like the last few events, there will be no fans in attendance for this fight. These two guys were supposed to fight on May 13th but Roberson had to pull out after the weight cut. These are two guys who aren’t fond of eachother, so there should plenty of fireworks in this one.
Karl “Baby K” Roberson comes into this game with a 9-2 record and has won four of his six fights in the UFC. Roberson’s last fight came against Roman Kopylov in early November of 2019. Roberson dominated most of the fight, and late in the third round he locked in a rear naked choke that ended the fight.
Roberson is comfortable on his feet or on the ground. Roberson is averaging 3.16 significant strikes per minute while only absorbing 1.80 significant strikes per minute. Roberson is averaging 1.07 takedowns per 15 minute fight. Baby K is successful on 57 percent of his takedown attempts, while defending 53 percent of others attempts.
Marvin “The Italian Dream” Vettori has an overall record of 14-4-1 and comes into this one having won two fights in a row. Each of the last two wins for Vettori have come with the judges scorecards and each of the last six fights overall have been decided by the judges.
Vettori is averaging 4.05 significant strikes per minute while absorbing only 2.85 significant strikes per minute. Vettori is averaging 1.43 takedowns every 15 minutes inside the octagon. This is a big fight for Vettori as he tries to make his climb up the division. If he were to win this fight it could be a game-changer for his career.
Roberson having to pull out of the last fight does concern me a bit, but his power should still be the difference in this game. Look for Roberson to land one big punch that is going to turn the lights out for Vettori. Take Roberson on the money line but for even more value, take him to win by KO.